Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.330536 5.999362 6.730422 7.590577 8.577140 9.675871 10.995742
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.430786 5.326983 6.382323 7.723591 9.392487 11.413088 14.063517
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.730638 4.706940 5.921455 7.556789 9.721599 12.517543 16.448141
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.283489 4.307227 5.638758 7.518817 10.139251 13.713163 19.044596
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.928679 3.969367 5.374765 7.441057 10.451824 14.757675 21.526357
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.767220 3.866573 5.404393 7.753587 11.324817 16.671479 25.517296
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.542563 3.645870 5.236299 7.747223 11.707433 17.879181 28.563547
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.337543 3.430550 5.049277 7.682278 11.976917 18.921651 31.461777
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.070073 3.096055 4.649493 7.239166 11.582465 18.825948 32.378620
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.945850 2.969722 4.557149 7.274563 11.971997 20.074730 35.840688
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.879045 2.926634 4.590104 7.515280 12.730382 22.043516 40.916718
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.797840 2.852615 4.564568 7.650536 13.312153 23.755761 45.747406
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.705598 2.755888 4.497605 7.715023 13.788224 25.360431 50.690913
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.616243 2.656980 4.418567 7.749893 14.212987 26.921985 55.815911
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.499564 2.501957 4.228804 7.561327 14.182822 27.567020 59.031360
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.416637 2.399369 4.122948 7.518778 14.433365 28.813516 63.817646
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.335956 2.294707 4.004685 7.440042 14.599099 29.896497 68.398767
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.315184 2.296584 4.081893 7.752302 15.615026 32.969988 78.449960
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.254281 2.219920 4.005206 7.745892 15.943999 34.534524 84.931282
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.190995 2.134374 3.904912 7.680949 16.135308 35.801130 90.856127
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.088475 1.967842 3.635813 7.237921 15.426177 34.821981 90.389848
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.047566 1.917402 3.592097 7.273310 15.823593 36.608231 98.162359
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.031177 1.913538 3.640889 7.513980 16.731006 39.803969 110.774242